Negotiation Analysis: The Science and Art of Collaborative Decision Making
Author: Howard Raiffa
This masterly book substantially extends Howard Raiffa's earlier classic, The Art and Science of Negotiation. It does so by incorporating three additional supporting strands of inquiry: individual decision analysis, judgmental decision making, and game theory. Each strand is introduced and used in analyzing negotiations.
The book starts by considering how analytically minded parties can generate joint gains and distribute them equitably by negotiating with full, open, truthful exchanges. The book then examines models that disengage step by step from that ideal. It also shows how a neutral outsider (intervenor) can help all negotiators by providing joint, neutral analysis of their problem.
Although analytical in its approachbuilding from simple hypothetical examplesthe book can be understood by those with only a high school background in mathematics. It therefore will have a broad relevance for both the theory and practice of negotiation analysis as it is applied to disputes that range from those between family members, business partners, and business competitors to those involving labor and management, environmentalists and developers, and nations.
Publishers Weekly
Harvard professor emeritus Raiffa and his co-authors have everything covered in this exhaustive work, which examines the dynamics of win-lose, win-win and multi-party negotiations and throws novel approaches like game theory into the mix. Especially timely is the analysis of "external help," in which the authors evaluate the growing trend of mediation and arbitration. Though its stated goal is to "suggest how people-perhaps you-might negotiate better," that's a bit of wishful thinking; the book, more a mathematics text than a popular guide, isn't designed for a broad-based audience. But it's certainly thorough, with its plethora of decision-making scenarios (e.g., surgery or radiation? invest in a business, or not?) to bring advanced theories to life. And Raiffa (The Art and Science of Negotiation) is one of the deans of the field. 78 line illustrations, 84 tables. (Jan.) Copyright 2003 Cahners Business Information.
Table of Contents:
Preface | ||
Pt. I | Fundamentals | 1 |
1 | Decision Perspectives | 3 |
2 | Decision Analysis | 14 |
3 | Behavioral Decision Theory | 33 |
4 | Game Theory | 53 |
5 | Negotiation Analysis | 81 |
Pt. II | Two-Party Distributive (Win-Lose) Negotiations | 97 |
6 | Elmtree House | 99 |
7 | Distributive Negotiations: The Basic Problem | 109 |
8 | Introducing Complexities: Uncertainty | 129 |
9 | Introducing Complexities: Time | 149 |
10 | Auctions and Bids | 165 |
Pt. III | Two-Party Integrative (Win-Win) Negotiations | 191 |
11 | Template Design | 195 |
12 | Template Evaluation | 213 |
13 | Template Analysis (I) | 226 |
14 | Template Analysis (II) | 249 |
15 | Behavioral Realities | 269 |
16 | Noncooperative Others | 288 |
Pt. IV | External Help | 307 |
17 | Mostly Facilitation and Mediation | 311 |
18 | Arbitration: Conventional and Nonconventional | 328 |
19 | What Is Fair? | 348 |
20 | Parallel Negotiations | 365 |
Pt. V | Many Parties | 385 |
21 | Group Decisions | 389 |
22 | Consensus | 407 |
23 | Coalitions | 430 |
24 | Voting | 450 |
25 | Pluralistic Parties | 465 |
26 | Multiparty Interventions | 484 |
27 | Social Dilemmas | 507 |
References | 523 | |
Note on Sources | 531 | |
Index | 535 |
Go to: Governing the Economy or Mexican Americans and the U S Economy
Roots of Violence in Black Philadelphia, 1860-1900
Author: Roger Lan
In the late nineteenth century, life became more stable and orderly for most American city dwellers, but not for blacks. Roger Lane offers a historical explanation for the rising levels of black urban crime and family instability during this paradoxical era. Philadelphia serves as test case because of the richness of the data: DuBois's classic study, The Philadelphia Negro, newspapers, records of the criminal justice system and other local agencies, and the federal census. The author presents numerical details, along with many examples of the human storiessocial and politicalbehind the statistics.
Lane reveals how social and economic discrimination created a black criminal subculture. This subculture, overlooked by those histories depending on often inaccurate census materials, eroded family patterns, encouraged violence, discouraged efforts at middle-class respectability, and intensified employment problems by adding white fear to the white prejudice that had helped to create it.
Modern crime rates and patterns are shown to be products of a historical culture that can be traced from its formative years to the 1980s. Lane not only charts Philadelphia's story but also makes suggestions regarding national and international patterns.
No comments:
Post a Comment