Sunday, January 4, 2009

Negotiation Analysis or Roots of Violence in Black Philadelphia 1860 1900

Negotiation Analysis: The Science and Art of Collaborative Decision Making

Author: Howard Raiffa

This masterly book substantially extends Howard Raiffa's earlier classic, The Art and Science of Negotiation. It does so by incorporating three additional supporting strands of inquiry: individual decision analysis, judgmental decision making, and game theory. Each strand is introduced and used in analyzing negotiations.

The book starts by considering how analytically minded parties can generate joint gains and distribute them equitably by negotiating with full, open, truthful exchanges. The book then examines models that disengage step by step from that ideal. It also shows how a neutral outsider (intervenor) can help all negotiators by providing joint, neutral analysis of their problem.

Although analytical in its approach—building from simple hypothetical examples—the book can be understood by those with only a high school background in mathematics. It therefore will have a broad relevance for both the theory and practice of negotiation analysis as it is applied to disputes that range from those between family members, business partners, and business competitors to those involving labor and management, environmentalists and developers, and nations.

Publishers Weekly

Harvard professor emeritus Raiffa and his co-authors have everything covered in this exhaustive work, which examines the dynamics of win-lose, win-win and multi-party negotiations and throws novel approaches like game theory into the mix. Especially timely is the analysis of "external help," in which the authors evaluate the growing trend of mediation and arbitration. Though its stated goal is to "suggest how people-perhaps you-might negotiate better," that's a bit of wishful thinking; the book, more a mathematics text than a popular guide, isn't designed for a broad-based audience. But it's certainly thorough, with its plethora of decision-making scenarios (e.g., surgery or radiation? invest in a business, or not?) to bring advanced theories to life. And Raiffa (The Art and Science of Negotiation) is one of the deans of the field. 78 line illustrations, 84 tables. (Jan.) Copyright 2003 Cahners Business Information.



Table of Contents:
Preface
Pt. IFundamentals1
1Decision Perspectives3
2Decision Analysis14
3Behavioral Decision Theory33
4Game Theory53
5Negotiation Analysis81
Pt. IITwo-Party Distributive (Win-Lose) Negotiations97
6Elmtree House99
7Distributive Negotiations: The Basic Problem109
8Introducing Complexities: Uncertainty129
9Introducing Complexities: Time149
10Auctions and Bids165
Pt. IIITwo-Party Integrative (Win-Win) Negotiations191
11Template Design195
12Template Evaluation213
13Template Analysis (I)226
14Template Analysis (II)249
15Behavioral Realities269
16Noncooperative Others288
Pt. IVExternal Help307
17Mostly Facilitation and Mediation311
18Arbitration: Conventional and Nonconventional328
19What Is Fair?348
20Parallel Negotiations365
Pt. VMany Parties385
21Group Decisions389
22Consensus407
23Coalitions430
24Voting450
25Pluralistic Parties465
26Multiparty Interventions484
27Social Dilemmas507
References523
Note on Sources531
Index535

Go to: Governing the Economy or Mexican Americans and the U S Economy

Roots of Violence in Black Philadelphia, 1860-1900

Author: Roger Lan

In the late nineteenth century, life became more stable and orderly for most American city dwellers, but not for blacks. Roger Lane offers a historical explanation for the rising levels of black urban crime and family instability during this paradoxical era. Philadelphia serves as test case because of the richness of the data: DuBois's classic study, The Philadelphia Negro, newspapers, records of the criminal justice system and other local agencies, and the federal census. The author presents numerical details, along with many examples of the human stories—social and political—behind the statistics.

Lane reveals how social and economic discrimination created a black criminal subculture. This subculture, overlooked by those histories depending on often inaccurate census materials, eroded family patterns, encouraged violence, discouraged efforts at middle-class respectability, and intensified employment problems by adding white fear to the white prejudice that had helped to create it.

Modern crime rates and patterns are shown to be products of a historical culture that can be traced from its formative years to the 1980s. Lane not only charts Philadelphia's story but also makes suggestions regarding national and international patterns.



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